A tropical disturbance swirling in the Gulf of Mexico is showing signs of intensification and is projected to veer northward towards Florida and the southeastern United States in the upcoming days.
Meteorologists are closely monitoring this weather system, named Tropical Storm Idalia, as it gains strength over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. There’s growing concern that it could deliver severe weather conditions to western Florida and the Panhandle region, with potential impacts beginning as early as Tuesday.
National Hurricane Center’s deputy director, Jamie Rhome, emphasized the need for vigilance among residents along the western Florida peninsula, from Fort Myers northward to the Panhandle. Rhome cautioned, “Regardless of whether you fall within the projected path, staying informed is crucial.”
As of the latest update at 11 p.m. ET on Sunday, Tropical Storm Idalia remained stationary approximately 145 miles off the western coast of Cuba, boasting sustained winds of 60 mph. A hurricane watch has been issued for a broad stretch of Florida’s western coastline, extending from Englewood to Indian Pass, encompassing Tampa Bay.
In response to the looming threat, Governor Ron DeSantis has declared a state of emergency across 33 counties in Florida, with authorities gearing up resources for storm preparedness, including high-water vehicles and boats. The Florida Division of Emergency Management is urging residents to ensure their vehicles have at least half a tank of gas on hand in anticipation of possible evacuations.
Should Idalia strengthen to hurricane status, which requires sustained winds exceeding 75 mph, and make landfall at this intensity, it would mark the first Atlantic hurricane to impact the United States this year. However, the exact trajectory and intensity of Idalia remain uncertain.
Tropical storm warnings are currently in effect for portions of Mexico and western Cuba, carrying the risk of heavy rainfall, flash floods, and landslides.
Over the coming days, Idalia is anticipated to trek northward across the Gulf of Mexico, potentially gaining strength and evolving into a hurricane. Forecasters have flagged a significant risk of rapid intensification while it traverses the unusually warm waters of the eastern and northeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Idalia is poised to start affecting parts of Florida as early as Tuesday morning. Notably, the Florida Panhandle is especially susceptible to storm surges, a concern highlighted by Rhome, who said, “Significant storm surge is possible even with a relatively weak storm or an indirect hit.”
Moreover, neighboring southeastern states such as Georgia and the Carolinas are likely to experience heavy rainfall later in the week, irrespective of Idalia’s final intensity.
Meanwhile, a separate hurricane named Franklin was active in the western Atlantic Ocean on Sunday. While Franklin was expected to impact Bermuda, it was not projected to make a direct landfall on the continental United States. Nevertheless, Rhome cautioned about the potential for rip currents along East Coast beaches due to the storm’s influence.”